‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Constricts India's Cooking-Gas Supplies.
The ripple effects of a war being fought nearly a significant distance away are now impacting India's kitchens.
As military actions on Iran hinder energy deliveries through the Strait of Hormuz, supplies of kitchen fuel are tightening across India, forcing restaurants to reduce offerings, close earlier and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is filled with video clips showing queues outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian metros and localities as concerns over fuel supplies escalate. Restaurant kitchens appear the most affected: the sharpest squeeze is in commercial eateries.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply isn't available," says a representative of the an industry group.
Most eateries run either on industrial fuel canisters or pipeline-supplied fuel, and the lack of supply are now being experienced across the country. "Many restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the south. People are adopting coal and wood and electric cookers to keep their operations going."
Regional Impact
In a western metro, accounts say up to a fifth of hotels and restaurants are already operating at reduced capacity as commercial LPG supplies dry up. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have shrunk with scarce alternatives. "We can only make coffee and no other dishes - it is truly dismal. Commerce will take a hit," says a restaurant owner in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are scrambling to adapt. "Food options are being cut, some are skipping midday meals and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that closures are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers report a surge in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are running out of them.
Government Stance
Yet, the government maintains there is sufficient stock.
India has more than 300 million home fuel subscribers and authorities say cylinders are being prioritized to households as tensions from the war in the Gulf impact energy markets.
Roughly a majority of India's LPG is imported, and about 90% of those shipments pass through the key maritime route, the vital passage now effectively closed by the hostilities.
The relevant department says that it directed refineries to boost LPG output for domestic use, lifting domestic production by about 25%. Non-domestic supply is being reserved for vital industries such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "just and open".
"A degree of anxious stocking and hoarding has been triggered by rumors. The standard supply timeline for home fuel remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Spreading Anxiety
Now the concern is extending beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a fuel station. "Anxiety is palpable," the caption reads.
According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be premature.
India imports almost all of its oil. Around half of its oil purchases - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Middle Eastern nations.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the deficit could be partly compensated for by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a refinery and oil markets analyst.
Based on maritime intelligence and industry information, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, narrowing India's effective shortfall from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern
The real vulnerability is cooking gas, experts note.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through Hormuz.
Refineries can adjust processes to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through alternative sourcing. Refined product supply remains relatively comfortable. LPG availability is the key factor to track in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the anxiety on the ground is not just limited availability but erratic supply chains - and the familiar spectre of panic buying.
An industry representative states opportunistic profiteering.
"Distributors are misusing the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a premium. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being hoarded and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's energy imports may be buffered by global trade flows. But in kitchens across the country, the more immediate question is simple: how to get the next gas canister.